| | Free MLB Pick Seattle (56-64) at L.A. Angels (62-59)
Seattle (56-64) at L.A. Angels (62-59)
The Mariners and Angels begin a four-game weekend series in Southern California, with Seattle’s Jamie Moyer (6-11, 4.40 ERA) scheduled to oppose Kelvim Escobar (8-10, 3.89) tonight.
Seattle brings a season-high seven-game losing skid into Anaheim, with all seven defeats coming on the road. Mike Hargrove’s team is just 3-10 in its last 13 games and has scored two runs or fewer in eight of its 15 games this month.
The Angels have alternated wins and losses in their last seven games, including Wednesday’s 9-3 loss at Texas, which wrapped up a 5-5 road trip. Mike Scioscia’s ballclub returns home, where it has dropped five of its last eight contests.
Seattle leads the season series 7-5, including five wins in six games at Angels Stadium. In fact, the road team has taken the last eight matchups.
Moyer is 2-6 in his last eight starts and has allowed four earned runs or more in six of those outings. Since the calendar flipped to July, the southpaw has posted a 7.32 ERA and surrendered 12 home runs in just 39 2/3 innings.
Moyer is 2-6 with a 5.43 ERA on the road this season. The 43-year-old is also 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA in two starts against the Angels, both of which occurred in Seattle. Going back to 2005, he’s surrendered four earned runs or more in five of his last six games against Los Angeles, with the Mariners going 2-4.
Escobar is coming off his worst game in more than six weeks, as he got torched for five runs in six innings in Saturday’s 5-2 loss to the Yankees in New York. Despite that performance, the righthander has given up two earned runs or fewer in eight of his last 12 starts, and he’s pitched at least six innings in 15 of his last 17 outings, including seven in a row.
Escobar is 3-5 despite a solid 3.53 ERA at home, and L.A. is just 3-7 in his 10 starts at Angels Stadium. He’s also 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts against Seattle this year, both at home.
The under has been the play in all three of Escobar’s starts this month.
The over is 18-5-2 in the last 25 series encounters (8-3-1 this year). The over is also 9-2 in the last 11 games at Angels Stadium (4-0 in the last four).
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and OVER