| | L.A. Dodgers (66-60) at San Diego (64-62) 8-23-06
L.A. Dodgers (66-60) at San Diego (64-62)
The Dodgers look to avoid getting swept by the Padres when the two rivals wrap up their three-game series at Petco Park, with L.A.’s Brad Penny (13-6, 3.70) set to face Woody Williams (6-4, 3.67).
Since putting together an impressive 17-1 run, the Dodgers have dropped four of their last six, and they’ve managed just two runs in the first two games of this series. Still, L.A. is on runs of 14-4 at night and 12-4 as a favorite.
After starting this 10-game homestand by losing five of the first six contests, San Diego has turned things around and won three in a row. However, Bruce Bochy’s squad is still just 32-36 at Petco Park this season.
The Padres have owned the Dodgers this year, winning 10 of 13 clashes. Also, the road team is 8-5.
Penny got rocked in Friday’s start at San Francisco, allowing six runs in six innings, losing 7-3. The All-Star is 3-4 in his last seven trips to the mound, with his ERA jumping from 3.26 to 3.70 during that stretch. Penny is 6-3 with a 3.79 ERA on the highway.
Penny hasn’t enjoyed much success against the Padres this year, allowing nine runs and 14 hits in just 11 innings in a pair of starts, both of which the Dodgers lost. The righthander is just 3-5 with a 5.46 ERA in 11 lifetime outings against San Diego.
Williams has shined against the Dodgers in his career, going 7-3 with a 2.46 ERA in 17 starts, including a pair of complete games. The veteran hurler hasn’t faced Los Angeles this year, but in 2005, he allowed a grand total of seven earned runs in five starts against the Dodgers spanning 32 2/3 innings (1.93 ERA).
Williams is 2-0 with a 1.91 ERA in his last two trips to the mound and 2-2 with a 3.06 ERA in eight games (seven starts) at Petco Park.
The under hit in all five of Williams’ starts against the Dodgers last year, but the over is 7-2-1 in Penny’s last 10 starts against San Diego.
The under is on runs of 18-4-2 for the Padres, 12-2-2 for the Padres at night and 9-2 for the Dodgers under the lights. However, the over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 series encounters.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN DIEGO and UNDER